Samantha Gold
🥸

Samantha Gold

PhD Candidate
Cornell Brooks School of Public Policy

Hello!! I'm a fifth year applied economics PhD candidate at Cornell Brooks School of Public Policy. My research primarily focuses on using quasi-experimental methods to study policy-relevant questions in public health and health & human capital, with the occasional side quest into causal inference & digital experimentation. Prior to Cornell, I was a pre-doctoral fellow in Economics at Brown University and a data scientist at RIPL, a tech-for-social-good non-profit. I graduated from UC Berkeley with a degree in Environmental Economics and Policy in 2016.

May 2026
Re-located to Seattle for the summer and began my second summer as a Quant UXR intern at Pinterest!
Dec 2025
Passed my A exam! I'm ABD (all but dissertation) now! 🎉
Nov 2025
Attended APPAM in Seattle and shared some new work on non-medical vaccine exemptions.
Oct 2025
Work accepted at INFORMS!
Aug 2025
Project accepted for a parallel talk at CODE@MIT 2025.
May 2025
Started my summer internship with the Quant UXR team at Pinterest!
Sep 2024
My work with John Cawley on the economics academic job market published in CSWEP.
Jun 2024
Special Sworn Status granted.
Apr 2024
Awarded the Diversity Scholar Fellowship and attended ASHEcon in San Diego!
Aug 2023
Joined Allison Koenecke's FANCY lab!
Aug 2022
Awarded the Sage Fellowship and started my PhD at Cornell in Ithaca, NY.
Jan 2021
2026
Public Health
State Repeal of Nonmedical Vaccine Exemptions and Kindergarten Vaccination Rates
Anthony Bald, Samantha Gold, and Y. Tony Yang
PublicationJAMA Pediatrics
PDF
This study evaluates the association between state repeal of nonmedical vaccine exemptions and kindergarten vaccination rates. Using a staggered difference-in-differences design, we find that total repeal reduced overall exemption rates by 3.2 percentage points within 3 years, with vaccination rates rising by 4.1 points for DTaP, 2.8 for hepatitis B, 4.0 for MMR, and 3.8 for polio. Minimal substitution toward medical exemptions occurred. These findings suggest that nonmedical exemption repeal played a role in maintaining vaccination coverage during a period of heightened vaccine hesitancy.
2025
Causal Inference & Digital Experimentation
Anytime-Valid Inference in Adaptive Experiments: Covariate Adjustment and Balanced Power
Samantha Gold and Daniel Molitor
Working PaperarXiv
PDF
Adaptive experiments such as multi-armed bandits offer efficiency gains over traditional randomized experiments but pose two major challenges: invalid inference on the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) due to adaptive sampling and low statistical power for sub-optimal treatments. We address both issues by extending the Mixture Adaptive Design framework. First, we propose MADCovar, a covariate-adjusted ATE estimator that is unbiased and preserves anytime-valid inference guarantees while substantially improving ATE precision. Second, we introduce MADMod, which dynamically reallocates samples to underpowered arms, enabling more balanced statistical power across treatments without sacrificing valid inference. Both methods retain MAD's core advantage of constructing asymptotic confidence sequences that allow researchers to continuously monitor ATE estimates and stop data collection once a desired precision or significance criterion is met. Empirically, MADCovar reduces CS width by up to 60% relative to MAD in simulations, and achieves similar precision gains in a large-scale political RCT with 32,000 participants. MADMod improves statistical power across all treatment arms, particularly for suboptimal treatments. Both methods are implemented through an open-source software package.
2025
Public Health
The Causal Impact of Firearm Policy on Suicides
with Allison Koenecke and Alanna Flores
Working Paper
2021
Health & Human Capital
The returns to early-life interventions for very low birth weight children
Eric Chyn, Samantha Gold, and Justine Hastings
PublicationJournal of Health Economics
PDF (ungated)
We use comprehensive administrative data from Rhode Island to measure the impact of early-life interventions for low birth weight newborns on later-life outcomes. We use a regression discontinuity design based on the 1,500-gram threshold for Very Low Birth Weight (VLBW) status. We show that threshold crossing causes more intense in-hospital care, in line with prior studies. Threshold crossing also causes a 0.34 standard deviation increase in test scores in elementary and middle school, a 17.1 percentage point increase in the probability of college enrollment, and $66,997 decrease in social program expenditures by age 14. We explore potential mechanisms driving these impacts.
2021
Public Policy
Recycling Policies, Behavior and Convenience: Survey Evidence from the CalRecycle Program
Peter Berck, Marshall Blundell, Gabriel Englander, Samantha Gold, Shelley He, Janet Horsager, Scott Kaplan, Molly Sears, Andrew Stevens, Rebecca Taylor, Carly Trachtman, and Sofia B. Villas-Boas
PublicationApplied Economic Perspectives and Policy
PDF
AB2020 established a deposit-refund system in California, where consumers are reimbursed the California Redemption Value (CRV) upon recycling eligible containers at a recycling center. We study recycling under this policy, focusing on consumer convenience, reported recycling and diversion behavior, and responses to changes in the CRV amount. We find that consumers prefer nearby centers with flexible operating hours and short waiting times. While the CRV induces recycling, an increase in CRV would not lead to major recycling increases, given the limited number of containers entering trash streams. Finally, most diverted containers are taken from trash streams, not curbside recycling bins.
2021
Public Policy
Delivering Unemployment Assistance in Times of Crisis
Mintaka Angell, Samantha Gold, Mark Howison, et al.
PublicationDigital Government: Research and Practice
PDF
The COVID-19 public health emergency caused widespread economic shutdown and unemployment. The resulting surge in Unemployment Insurance claims threatened to overwhelm legacy systems. In Rhode Island, we developed a scalable cloud solution to collect Pandemic Unemployment Assistance claims, deployed within 10 days of the passage of the CARES Act — making Rhode Island the first state to collect, validate, and pay PUA claims. Our system delivered timely benefits with an estimated cost savings of $502,000, representing a 411% return on investment.
Health & Human Capital
The Effect of Updated Parental Investment Beliefs on Very Low Birthweight Babies
Samantha Gold
Paper in Progress
Health
The Long-Run Health Effects of Public Disaster Relief
with Daniel Molitor
Paper in Progress
Email
Twitter @skeigold
GitHub samanthagold
LinkedIn samanthakeigold
Location Cornell Brooks School
Ithaca, NY
✦ off the record
things I will defend to the death
  • In-N-Out is objectively the best fast food. This is not up for debate.
  • Bowling is a legitimate sport and I will not be taking questions.
  • Being a Minnesota sports fan builds character. Painful, painful character.
things about my research, caveman edition
  • 🦴 Baby go daycare → baby smart → baby earn rocks. UGH.
  • 🦴 Small nudge → poor tribe get medicine. Good for tribe.
  • 🦴 Big number magic → find right baby for help. Smart rock.
a totally serious fun fact
  • I run "sometimes." The definition of sometimes is generous.
  • Tennis + bowling is an underrated athletic combination.